Michael Pachter doesn't believe the upcoming PS4 and Xbox One version of Grand Theft Auto V will hold a candle to the game's last-gen performance.
And with PS4 sales having passed 10m in the summer and Microsoft's most recent Xbox One sales numbers – which date back to April, by the way – standing at 5m we currently have a next-gen install base in excess of 15m but likely short of 20m.
Pachter made the prediction, as reported by Videogamer, when speculating that Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare will likely fare better than predecessor Call of Duty: Ghosts.
"We expect an increase in Call of Duty sales this year," he said. [This is] due to the free upgrade feature, Day Zero access and less competition – EA's Battlefield Hardline launches in the March 2015 quarter, and sales of Take-Two's Grand Theft Auto V on next-gen consoles should pale in comparison to sales of the current-gen version of the game last year) – and likely improved review scores driven by a three-year development, up from two-year development cycles for previous iterations."
MCV still expects the game to make a big impact, however.
GTAV will go on sale for PS4 and Xbox One on November 18th, with the PC version to follow in January 2015.